Who’s Gonna Win? | Words & Numbers | Ep 530

James and Ant predict the near-present. Who’s gonna win in this hot mess of an election? They also talk a bit about who’s gonna lose.

00:00 Introduction and Episode Preview
00:26 Listener Feedback: The Death Penalty and Inalienable Rights
02:18 Does Imprisonment Violate the Right to Liberty?
04:09 Can You Forfeit Your Inalienable Rights?
06:25 Punishment, Rehabilitation, and the Purpose of Prison
08:42 Elizabeth Holmes, Fraud, and Criminal Justice
10:22 Should Criminals Be Forced to Repay Their Victims?
12:07 Pete Hegseth’s Political Future in Tennessee
13:48 Foolishness of the Week: Nicki Minaj for White House Press Secretary?
17:19 Political Spam and the 2026 Midterm Elections
18:49 Midterm Election Predictions: Polls vs. Betting Markets
25:51 Will Democrats Take Control of Congress?
28:10 Could Trump Face Another Impeachment?
31:50 The Odds of Democrats Winning the House and Senate
34:03 Texas Senate Race: Ken Paxton vs. James Talarico
35:35 Trump’s Approval Ratings and the Midterms
37:13 Ohio Governor’s Race: Vivek Ramaswamy’s Declining Odds
39:00 Alaska Senate Race: Mary Peltola vs. Dan Sullivan
41:51 Maine Senate Race: Can Susan Collins Survive?
44:43 Tariffs, Inflation, and Republican Voter Discontent
46:44 Michigan Senate Race: Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers
49:04 What Happens if Trump Is Removed From Office?
57:05 Which Is More Reliable: Polls or Prediction Markets?
1:02:24 Redistricting Battles in Texas and California
1:04:21 The Political Consequences of Redistricting
1:05:15 Be Nice to Each Other and Closing Thoughts

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